10-16-2018, 01:42 PM | #1 |
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The Irish Problem
Can anyone help me understand why, when exiting the EU, the UK doesn’t say “well we aren’t putting in any border checks. If you want to (Ireland) then that’s your prerogative.”
I get the UK has shared responsibility to find a solution and I hope there is one encompassing a broader deal. But if the EU won’t accept it well I guess there is no deal and no £40bn settlement. Why would the UK care. It’s not like the EU could sue the country as it won’t be subject to European courts of Justice and it would be for the Rep. of Ireland to choose does it want frictionless trade with the UK or put up a hard border. Is it ‘simply’ the uk needs to find a solution otherwise there can’t be a broader deal which the UK so badly wants? Discuss. Thanks for your help. |
10-16-2018, 02:17 PM | #3 |
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10-16-2018, 05:32 PM | #5 |
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I've been thinking about thins as well as am increasingly swinging towards an outcome that does require a hard border between Northern Ireland and Ireland. Of course that's easy for me to say - I don't live in N/Ireland.
How much UK trade flows across the border and onwards into the EU ? Genuine question - I have no factual understanding. Not Irish exports; English/Welsh/Scottish/N.Irish goods and services transiting through Ireland as an export route to the EU. The EU continues to try to drive a wedge into UK sovereignty whilst making no apparent suggestions or compromises. With the DUP and a Cabinet revolt both in the wings, and annexing Northern Ireland from the UK being completely unacceptable, perhaps No Deal is the way to go.
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10-16-2018, 06:07 PM | #6 |
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You can see the EU's concerns. Without a hard border / border controls, the UK is potentially free to set up tariff free trade with any country in the world and become a back door supplier into Europe via Ireland.
Time to buy shares in Trotters international traders? |
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10-17-2018, 03:02 AM | #7 |
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An Irish politician (northern IIRC) put it well when he said barb wire, watch towers and British army couldn't create a hard border so what chance do the EU have?
Pointless trying to have one, you can't cut NI off from the ROI and you can't cut NI off from the UK mainland.
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Last edited by Wills2; 10-17-2018 at 04:34 AM.. |
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10-17-2018, 03:39 AM | #8 |
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It seems to me that if a deal can't be reached, we end up with a no-deal. This means a hard border in Ireland.
The EU is pushing hard for the "backstop" meaning some border down the Irish Sea. We've told them this is never going to happen. The fact that they are pushing so hard, with the obvious (to us) outcome of a no-deal, tells me that they think we're going to back down, and we're going to give in to the backstop - which I hope we don't. From what I've read, our senior negotiator Ollie Robbins has actually been telling the EU that we will back down, which has given them "hope". Given that continuing to attempt to prevent the hard border in Ireland is most likely to end up with a hard border in Ireland - why can't the negotiators start from the principle of "we're going to have a hard border", then do what we can to make the hard border as seamless as possible. |
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10-17-2018, 04:37 AM | #9 |
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You find me a British PM or Irish Taoiseach that would sign off on that, neither would or could it'd be political suicide.
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10-17-2018, 04:44 AM | #10 |
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The other thing I don't understand is why would having a border automatically mean violence?
Not being of a religious persuasion I never do understand people kicking off over a religion but just seems daft to me if a border is created someone will then go and blow something up because if it. I appreciate there is a lot more to the Irish past than I fully understand but to me, yes a border would be a pain in the balls but surely it could be implemented as softly as possible if the will was there? |
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10-17-2018, 05:10 AM | #11 | |
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The same with Norway and Sweden where there appears to be nothing of note on most of the major highways, just a sign. I cant help but think that this is the EU being as obstructive as possible, although I do get the issues over custom controls etc I'm sure these aren't insurmountable. |
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10-17-2018, 05:16 AM | #12 | |
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I'm in line with your final point.
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10-17-2018, 08:26 AM | #13 | ||
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Sky news report about the Swiss boarder... https://news.sky.com/video/a-white-v...y-one-11494484 Hardly seems an unmanned barrier to me. |
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10-17-2018, 09:25 AM | #15 | |
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I agree with the idea that without a deal we should do what we can to avoid paying, but it seems to be a matter debate as to whether we can get away with this. In a situation like that, it is likely in my view that the UK has some unavoidable liabilities, particularly if we are inevitably seeking an ongoing relationship with the EU. |
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10-17-2018, 09:43 AM | #16 |
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May today said
Quote "It was actually £39bn, said Mrs May, and this was a country "that honours it's legal obligations and we will do exactly that", before leaving herself a little wiggle room with her familiar mantra that "nothing is agreed until everything is agreed". Source https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-45887830 And I'm not implying this is a legal document, as I thought we owed nothing on the no deal scenario...
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10-17-2018, 09:51 AM | #17 | |
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However, if you're going to bare you're arse anywhere then surely the Eurostar terminal at St Pancras is the place |
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10-17-2018, 10:02 AM | #18 |
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As said above somewhere, they can't come to a deal because they don't want a hard border, yet if they don't come to a deal they will get a hard border.
Madness the whole situation. |
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10-17-2018, 10:08 AM | #19 | |
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Oh yes, quite a few of us... |
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10-17-2018, 10:14 AM | #20 | |
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10-17-2018, 10:29 AM | #21 |
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If UK leaves without a deal then we fall back onto WTO rules. A border is a requirement under WTO rules. So it's not Ireland's problem but ours. Seems like all the hard brexiteers conveniently leave this fact out.
All that the majority of the country cares is that we aren't worse off by whatever happens out of Brexit. Those who claim that we'll be ok in the long run aren't the poorer half of the country. They'll have enough reserves to survive any downturn. Build it and they'll come mentality. |
10-17-2018, 10:30 AM | #22 | |
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